Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
