Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.