Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.