Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 72.58%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 10.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 3-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
