Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
