Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
