Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.