Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.