Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Santos Laguna and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
