Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santos Laguna in this match.
