Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 23.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
