Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
