Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
