Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Oct 31, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Victoria
Necaxa
3 - 2
Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Toluca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Toluca |
| 42.64% | 27.21% | 30.15% |
| Both teams to score 48.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
