Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 53.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 21.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
