Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico San Luis would win this match.
