Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
