Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
