Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
