Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
