Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 10, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca
3 - 1
Queretaro
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Queretaro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Queretaro |
| 39.57% | 25.58% | 34.85% |
| Both teams to score 55.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% | 48.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% | 70.59% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% | 24.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.5% | 58.49% |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.92% | 62.07% |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 39.57%
Queretaro 34.85%
Draw 25.58%
| Toluca | Draw | Queretaro |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.1% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 39.57% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.53% 1-2 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.85% |
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2020 1am
Gameweek 9
Queretaro
1-1
Toluca
Jul 21, 2019 6pm
Toluca
0-2
Queretaro
Castillo (65'), Escoboza (72')
Apr 13, 2019 11pm
Oct 28, 2018 6pm
Gameweek 14
Toluca
4-0
Queretaro
Form Guide
Content continues below the video
