Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
