Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
