Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Juarez.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
