Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
