Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Newport County and Salford City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
