Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Leyton Orient and Newport County.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
