Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.