Chester FC 4-0 Buxton - National League North - April 29, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FC	Draw	Buxton
38.97% ( -0.17)	26.02% ( 0.01)	35.01% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.64% (

-0.04)

50.36% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.69% (

-0.04)

72.3% (

0.04)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

-0.11)

25.35% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86% (

-0.15)

60.14% (

0.16)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.07)

27.61% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85% (

0.09)

63.14% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Chester FC 38.97%

Buxton 35.01%

Draw 26.02%

Chester FC	Draw	Buxton
1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.97%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 35.01%