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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Bradford City |
39.27% ( 0.11) | 29.04% ( -0.01) | 31.69% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 44.26% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.66% ( 0.01) | 62.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.01% ( 0.01) | 81.99% ( -0.01) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( 0.07) | 30.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.8% ( 0.08) | 67.2% ( -0.08) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( -0.07) | 35.94% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( -0.07) | 72.72% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.03% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 31.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leyton Orient | 46 | 26 | 13 | 7 | 61 | 34 | 27 | 91 |
P | Stevenage | 46 | 24 | 13 | 9 | 61 | 39 | 22 | 85 |
P | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 83 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 22 | 13 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 79 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 66 | 43 | 23 | 76 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 20 | 16 | 10 | 61 | 43 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Salford City | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 18 | 75 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 72 | 55 | 17 | 75 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 62 |
10 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 61 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 61 |
12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 58 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 58 |
14 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 58 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 57 |
16 | Walsall | 46 | 12 | 19 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 55 |
17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 55 |
18 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 46 | 65 | -19 | 55 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 68 | -9 | 52 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 49 |
21 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 11 | 15 | 20 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 46 |
R | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 52 | 78 | -26 | 43 |
R | Rochdale | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 38 |
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