Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
-0.99) 
0.51) 
