La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Granada2 - 3Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 5-1 Granada
Sunday, March 3 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 3 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-2 PSG
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, March 5 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Granada 1-2 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad are in desperate need of a win due to their recent run of defeats, and we are backing them to edge a close game on Saturday. Granada conceded five to Villarreal last time out and are likely to face more frustration when they host Alguacil's side this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (9.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Real Sociedad |
24.62% ( 0.19) | 27.2% ( 0.16) | 48.18% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 45.2% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
