Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Wrexham |
29.13% ( -0.89) | 24.08% ( 0.19) | 46.79% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 58.24% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.15% ( -1.36) | 43.85% ( 1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.76% ( -1.34) | 66.24% ( 1.34) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( -1.28) | 28.19% ( 1.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( -1.66) | 63.88% ( 1.66) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.1% ( -0.25) | 18.89% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.62% ( -0.42) | 50.38% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.13% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 5.2% 0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 46.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 42 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 109 | 41 | 68 | 103 |
2 | Notts County | 43 | 30 | 10 | 3 | 108 | 39 | 69 | 100 |
3 | Woking | 42 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 76 |
4 | Chesterfield | 42 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 69 | 47 | 22 | 75 |
5 | Barnet | 42 | 20 | 9 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 69 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 42 | 17 | 15 | 10 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 66 |
7 | Eastleigh | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 65 |
8 | Bromley | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 61 | 51 | 10 | 63 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 60 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 68 | -11 | 58 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 61 | 74 | -13 | 53 |
14 | Halifax TownHalifax | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 52 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 42 | 13 | 12 | 17 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 51 |
16 | Gateshead | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 49 |
17 | York City | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 49 |
18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 43 | 13 | 10 | 20 | 46 | 60 | -14 | 49 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 42 | 14 | 7 | 21 | 60 | 86 | -26 | 49 |
20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 42 | 12 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 72 | -14 | 45 |
21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 42 | 11 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 43 |
22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 42 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 39 |
R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 43 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 46 | 80 | -34 | 34 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 43 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 25 |
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