Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 57.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 19.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.