Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
40.98% | 25.17% | 33.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.66% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% (![]() | 46.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.87% (![]() | 69.12% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% (![]() | 22.75% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% (![]() |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% (![]() | 26.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% (![]() | 61.88% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 16 |
3 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 15 |
4 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 |
5 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 13 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Casa Pia | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 6 |
11 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Vizela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 5 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 |
17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 4 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |