

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
| 47.02% ( | 26.39% ( | 26.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.99% ( | 55% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.72% ( | 76.27% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.63% ( | 57.36% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.04% ( | 35.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.26% ( | 72.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Portimonense |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 47.01% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Casa Pia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | BoavistaBoavista | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | ChavesChaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | AroucaArouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Vizela | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | PortimonensePortimonense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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