Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.08%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 10.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 3-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.71%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.