Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.