Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
3 - 2
West Ham

Maupay (11'), Mavropanos (55' og.), Collins (69')
Ajer (24')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kudus (19'), Bowen (26')
Palmieri (11'), Soucek (52'), Moyes (53'), Mavropanos (62'), Ings (90+5')

West Ham's Jarrod Bowen makes Premier League history with goal in Brentford loss

Jarrod Bowen breaks a Premier League record after scoring for West Ham United in their 3-2 away defeat to Brentford on Saturday.

Nov 4, 19:19

Brentford's Aaron Hickey pictured in April 2023

Brentford's Aaron Hickey to miss rest of 2023 with hamstring injury

Brentford boss Thomas Frank reveals that full-back Aaron Hickey will miss the remainder of 2023 with a hamstring injury.

Nov 6, 01:10

The Match

Match Report

Nathan Collins's 70th-minute header proves to be the decisive goal as Brentford beat West Ham United 3-2 in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 0-2 Brentford
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Ham United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	West Ham United
43.79% ( -0.57)	25.15% ( 0.27)	31.06% ( 0.3)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36% (

-1.06)

47.64% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

-0.98)

69.84% (

0.98)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.7)

21.75% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

-1.08)

54.93% (

1.08)

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.33)

28.79% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.41)

64.64% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Brentford 43.79%

West Ham United 31.06%

Draw 25.15%

Brentford	Draw	West Ham United
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.42% Total : 43.79%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.06%