Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 42.59% ( | 25.7% ( | 31.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( | 49.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( | 71.75% ( |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( | 23.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.88% ( | 57.12% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( | 29.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.61% ( | 65.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.36% ( 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0-2 @ 5.12% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 105 | 36 | 69 | 100 |
| 2 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 |
| 3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 40 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 61 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 56 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 55 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 55 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 48 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 47 |
| 16 | York City | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 46 |
| 17 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 |
| 18 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 46 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 43 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 40 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 38 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 37 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 76 | -30 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 41 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 90 | -47 | 24 |
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