

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 44.07% ( | 24.47% ( | 31.45% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( | 44.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( | 66.84% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( | 20.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.33% ( | 52.67% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( | 26.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.7% ( | 62.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 1-3 @ 3.28% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
| 2 | York City | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 71 |
| 4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 63 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 60 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 59 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 56 |
| 8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 55 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 52 |
| 10 | Eastleigh | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 52 |
| 11 | Tamworth | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 48 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 47 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
| 14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 46 |
| 15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
| 16 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
| 17 | Woking | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 41 |
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 40 |
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 36 |
| 20 | Fylde | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 36 |
| 21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 35 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
| 23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 31 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 80 | -54 | 14 |
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