

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 50.44% ( | 24.3% ( | 25.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.39% ( | 47.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.19% ( | 69.81% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.1% ( | 18.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.61% ( | 50.39% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( | 33.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.32% ( | 69.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% ( 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 |
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