

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 50.44% (  0.17) | 24.3% (  -0.21) | 25.26% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 54.27% (  0.72) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.39% (  0.93) | 47.61% (  -0.93) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.19% (  0.85) | 69.81% (  -0.85) | 
| Barnet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.1% (  0.43) | 18.9% (  -0.43) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.61% (  0.71) | 50.39% (  -0.71) | 
| Aldershot Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.92% (  0.54) | 33.08% (  -0.54) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.32% (  0.59) | 69.68% (  -0.59) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barnet | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 1-0 @ 10.41% (  -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.6% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 8.68% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.33% (  0.09) 3-0 @ 4.82% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% (  0.09) 4-1 @ 2.22% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 2.01% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.23% (  0.05) Other @ 3.19% Total : 50.43% | 1-1 @ 11.52% (  -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.25% (  -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.31% (  0.09) 3-3 @ 1.09% (  0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% (  -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.37% (  0.03) 0-2 @ 3.83% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.35% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 1.96% (  0.06) 0-3 @ 1.41% (  0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.26% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 | 
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 | 
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | 
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 | 
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 | 
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 | 
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 | 
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | 
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 | 
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 | 
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