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Ligue 1
Nantes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Marseille

Nantes
1 - 1
Marseille

Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 3-3 Monaco
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-0 Brest
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nantes 1-2 Marseille

 Given that Marseille already lead Nantes by six points, we expect the visitors to secure a third victory in four league matches on Friday, although the hosts will likely make life difficult for OM. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
NantesDrawMarseille
20.31% (-0.112 -0.11) 23.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 55.86% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.65% (-0.14899999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (-0.111 -0.11)50.72% (0.112 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (-0.099 -0.1)72.62% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.55% (-0.183 -0.18)39.44% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.86% (-0.171 -0.17)76.13% (0.17 0.17)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.0010000000000048 0)18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13% (0.0039999999999978 0)48.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nantes 20.31%
    Marseille 55.85%
    Draw 23.82%
NantesDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-1 @ 5.27% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 20.31%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 12.17% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 5.97% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.38%
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 55.85%

How you voted: Nantes vs Marseille

Nantes
8.6%
Draw
14.0%
Marseille
77.4%
93
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 33
Marseille
3-2
Nantes
Payet (39' pen., 55' pen.), Harit (75')
Peres (35'), Milik (87')
Girotto (26'), Coco (41')
Blas (32'), Coco (45'), Da Silva (81'), Appiah (90+1')
Coco (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Nantes
0-1
Marseille

Pallois (14'), Lafont (78')
Pallois (32')
Gerson (30')
Gerson (71'), Gonzalez (78')
> Preview
Feb 20, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 26
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Blas (50')
Traore (32'), Castelletto (43'), Chirivella (74'), Bamba (88')
Payet (69')
Gonzalez (88')
Sakai (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG24195066234362
2Marseille24154552292349
3Nice24137449282146
4MonacoMonaco24134748311743
5Lille24118539271241
6Lyon24116744311339
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2410773832637
8Toulouse249693126533
9Lens249692929033
10Brest24103113640-433
11Rennes2492133432229
12Auxerre2477103438-428
13Angers2476112638-1227
14NantesNantes2459102842-1424
15Reims2457122638-1222
16Le HavreLe Havre2462162350-2720
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2454152456-3219
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2443172158-3715
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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