MX23RW : Sunday, April 20 00:12:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Airdrieonians
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Excelsior Stadium
Hamilton logo

Airdrieonians
2 - 1
Hamilton

Frizzell (65'), Gallagher (86')
McDonald (83'), Bannon (90+3')
McCabe (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGinty (83')
Tumilty (44')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Airdrieonians and Hamilton Academical.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-3 Falkirk
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hamilton 2-2 Falkirk
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.

Result
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
40.24% (1.475 1.48) 25.75% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 34.01% (-1.438 -1.44)
Both teams to score 54.76% (-0.152 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.36% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (-0.073 -0.07)71.41% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (0.738 0.74)24.23% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (1.032 1.03)58.57% (-1.023 -1.02)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.26% (-0.90600000000001 -0.91)27.74% (0.915 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.69% (-1.181 -1.18)63.31% (1.191 1.19)
Score Analysis
    Airdrieonians 40.24%
    Hamilton Academical 34.01%
    Draw 25.74%
AirdrieoniansDrawHamilton Academical
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.234 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.174 0.17)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.305 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.167 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 40.24%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.62% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.075 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 34.01%

Head to Head
Dec 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 19
Hamilton
3-2
Airdrieonians
Shaw (14', 90'), McKinstry (38')
Martin (41')
Mochrie (19'), Gallagher (45')
McMaster (16')
Nov 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Airdrieonians
0-4
Hamilton

Agyemang (12'), Watson (81')
Smith (3'), Graham (9' og.), O'Hara (54'), McGowan (82')
Hendrie (56'), McGowan (64')
Aug 31, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hamilton
2-2
Airdrieonians
Shaw (47', 78')
O'Hara (45')
Reid (80'), Aiken (87')
McDonald (19'), Armstrong (22')
May 20, 2023 5.15pm
Final 2nd Leg
Hamilton
2-1
Airdrieonians
(Aggregate 2-2 | Airdrieonians win 6-5 on penalties)
Smith (23'), Tiehi (80')
Tumilty (76'), Martin (106'), Smith (120+2')
McGill (90+1')
McGill (34')
May 17, 2023 7.35pm
Final 1st Leg
Airdrieonians
1-0
Hamilton
(Aggregate 2-2 | Airdrieonians win 6-6 on penalties)
Smith (56')
Smith (52'), Ballantyne (68'), Watson (86')
Watson (90+2')

Smith (43'), Shiels (72'), McGowan (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FalkirkFalkirk34217668303870
2Livingston341910552262667
3Ayr UnitedAyr34178954371759
4Partick ThistlePartick341310114037349
5Raith Rovers34147134141049
6Greenock MortonMorton341111123947-844
7Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline3497182841-1334
8Queen's ParkQueen's Park3497183348-1534
9AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians3477203461-2728
10Hamilton AcademicalHamilton34106183758-2121


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!