Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Swansea City |
| 36.16% | 28.23% | 35.62% |
| Both teams to score 47.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.91% | 59.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.46% | 79.54% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% | 31.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.47% | 31.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.08% | 67.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.15% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 7.63% 0-2 @ 6.55% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 39 |
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 |
| 3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Southampton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 24 |
| 5 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 23 |
| 6 | Hull City | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 8 | Preston North EndPreston | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
| 9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 20 |
| 10 | Middlesbrough | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
| 11 | Stoke CityStoke | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 19 |
| 13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 16 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Norwich CityNorwich | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
| 18 | Millwall | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 17 |
| 19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 15 |
| 20 | Coventry CityCoventry | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 |
| 21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
| 23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 26 | -16 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 3 |
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