Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Watford |
| 32.11% | 28.2% | 39.68% |
| Both teams to score 46.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.61% | 59.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.23% | 79.77% |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% | 34.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.27% | 70.73% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.85% | 65.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 5.77% 3-1 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 2.07% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.11% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.2% | 0-1 @ 12.23% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 7.53% 1-3 @ 3.33% 0-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 1.03% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.6% Total : 39.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 29 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 65 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 58 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 48 |
| 4 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 45 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 44 |
| 8 | Millwall | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Sunderland | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 42 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Hull City | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 39 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 39 |
| 15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 38 |
| 17 | Reading | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 38 |
| 18 | Bristol City | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 36 |
| 19 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 33 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 32 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 29 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 28 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 26 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
