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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
43.91% | 27.35% | 28.74% |
Both teams to score 47.74% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.6% | 57.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.79% | 78.21% |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% | 25.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.02% | 60.97% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.49% | 35.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% | 72.27% |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.91% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Burnley | 43 | 26 | 14 | 3 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 92 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 65 | 36 | 29 | 82 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 43 | 20 | 15 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 75 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 82 | 52 | 30 | 74 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 15 | 12 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 66 |
6 | Millwall | 44 | 18 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 65 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 42 | 19 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 64 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 63 |
9 | Sunderland | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 62 |
10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 62 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 17 | 11 | 16 | 64 | 61 | 3 | 62 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 62 |
13 | Watford | 44 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 59 |
14 | Bristol City | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
15 | Hull City | 44 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 56 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 55 | 51 | 4 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 53 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 12 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 69 | -26 | 47 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 43 | 10 | 16 | 17 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 46 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 46 |
21 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 43 | 11 | 11 | 21 | 42 | 61 | -19 | 44 |
22 | Reading | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 43 |
23 | Blackpool | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 41 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 44 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 40 |
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