Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | York City | 
| 33.41% (  -0.02) | 25.05% (  -0) | 41.54% (  0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 56.98% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.59% (  0.02) | 46.41% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.31% (  0.02) | 68.69% (  -0.02) | 
| Barnet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.32% (  -0) | 26.68% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.07% (  -0) | 61.93% (  0) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.71% (  0.02) | 22.29% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.26% (  0.03) | 55.74% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Barnet | Draw | York City | 
| 1-0 @ 7.86% (  -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.79% (  -0) 2-0 @ 5.19% (  -0) 3-1 @ 3.43% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.58% (  0) 3-0 @ 2.29% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% (  -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.41% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 5.95% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5.85% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.29% (  0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 8.93% (  -0) 1-2 @ 8.85% (  0) 0-2 @ 6.7% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.43% (  0) 0-3 @ 3.35% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.93% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.66% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.26% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.1% (  0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.54% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 105 | 36 | 69 | 100 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 | 
| 3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72 | 62 | 10 | 67 | 
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 65 | 
| 7 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 | 
| 8 | Bromley | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 61 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 56 | 
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 | 
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 55 | 
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 55 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 48 | 
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 47 | 
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 | 
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 46 | 
| 18 | York City | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 | 
| 19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 | 
| 20 | Gateshead | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40 | 
| 21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 38 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 37 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 76 | -30 | 34 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 41 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 90 | -47 | 24 | 
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