
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Barnet | 
| 35.49% (  0.2) | 23.9% (  -0.53) | 40.61% (  0.32) | 
| Both teams to score 61.64% (  1.98) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.45% (  2.57) | 40.55% (  -2.57) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.07% (  2.59) | 62.93% (  -2.59) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.26% (  1.3) | 22.74% (  -1.3) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.58% (  1.89) | 56.42% (  -1.89) | 
| Barnet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.79% (  1.25) | 20.21% (  -1.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.47% (  1.96) | 52.53% (  -1.97) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| York City | Draw | Barnet | 
| 2-1 @ 8.06% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.81% (  -0.55) 2-0 @ 5.04% (  -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.98% (  0.15) 3-2 @ 3.18% (  0.23) 3-0 @ 2.49% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.47% (  0.11) 4-2 @ 1.18% (  0.13) 4-0 @ 0.92% (  0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 10.88% (  -0.43) 2-2 @ 6.44% (  0.24) 0-0 @ 4.6% (  -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.7% (  0.18) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 8.7% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% (  -0.59) 0-2 @ 5.88% (  -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.64% (  0.17) 2-3 @ 3.43% (  0.25) 0-3 @ 3.13% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.85% (  0.14) 2-4 @ 1.37% (  0.15) 0-4 @ 1.25% (  0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 40.61% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Wrexham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 116 | 43 | 73 | 111 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 46 | 32 | 11 | 3 | 117 | 42 | 75 | 107 | 
| 3 | Chesterfield | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 81 | 52 | 29 | 84 | 
| 4 | Woking | 46 | 24 | 10 | 12 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 82 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 75 | 67 | 8 | 74 | 
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 19 | 15 | 12 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 72 | 
| 7 | Bromley | 46 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 71 | 
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 | 
| 9 | Eastleigh | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 67 | 
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 63 | 
| 11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 61 | 
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 63 | 64 | -1 | 61 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 60 | 
| 14 | Gateshead | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 67 | 62 | 5 | 59 | 
| 15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 58 | 
| 16 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 67 | 91 | -24 | 57 | 
| 17 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 68 | 82 | -14 | 56 | 
| 18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 76 | -12 | 53 | 
| 19 | York City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 51 | 
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 50 | 
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 58 | 80 | -22 | 48 | 
| R | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 35 | 60 | -25 | 40 | 
| R | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 49 | 87 | -38 | 34 | 
| R | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 46 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 45 | 104 | -59 | 25 | 
| > Full Version | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
