Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 17.47%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.